Economy

IMF reviews downwards Ukraine's GDP growth forecast for 2019

IMF reviews downwards Ukraine's GDP growth forecast for 2019

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has retained its forecast for Ukraine's GDP growth in 2018 at 3.2%, while it reviewed downwards the forecast for 2019 to 3.3% from 4%, according to the World Economic Outlook published on Tuesday.

Average annual inflation forecast in 2018 was reviewed downwards by 1 percentage points (p.p.), to 11%, and in 2019 the IMF expects 8% inflation in Ukraine.

Consumer price growth forecast for late 2018 was revised downwards by 2 p.p., to 9%. By the end of the 2019, the IMF expects inflation in Ukraine at the level of 6.5%.

The IMF also revised downwards the deficit of the current account of the country's balance of payment for 2018, to 3.7% of GDP from 3% of GDP, and for 2019 – to 3.5% from 3% of GDP.

As reported, the World Bank remained unchanged its forecast for Ukraine's GDP growth in 2018-2019 at 3.5% and 4% respectively.

However, the bank said that if reforms are delayed, growth could drop below current levels in an uncertain macroeconomic environment as financing risks rapidly increase and GDP growth could slow to 2%.

The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) predicts that Ukraine's GDP would accelerate in 2018 to 3.4% from 2.5% in 2017 and slow to 2.9% in 2019-2020.

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