18:50 05.02.2014

Euromaidan divides Ukraine into two almost equal camps – survey

3 min read

Kyiv, February 5 (Interfax-Ukraine) – The Ukrainian people have been divided into two equal camps regarding their opinions of the Euromaidan, according to a survey conducted by the Sociopolis Institute at the request of the Situations Modelling Agency.

When being asked about their attitude to the Euromaidan, 49.0% of the respondents expressed complete or greater support, while 45.5% oppose Euromaidan (to full or greater degree), the research said.

According to sociologists, the majority of those polled (over 60%) were harsh, when characterized Euromaidan events either positively or negatively, while 30% of the Ukrainians were less categorical in there estimates on the above-mentioned events.

"Thus, it's possible to consider that Euromaidan has divided the country not just into two camps, but into two almost irreconcilable camps," the sociologists said.

According to the majority of respondents, the main reasons for the wave of rallies occurred in Ukraine were failure of Viktor Yanukovych to sign the Association Agreement with EU (51.9% of the respondents), unfavorable socio-political and socio-economical conditions in the country (41.7%) and dispersal of the students' Euromaidan by the law enforcers (37.7%). Furthermore, a great number of the respondents that are unlikely to support or don't support Euromaidan at all said that main reasons for Euromaidan phenomenon were provocations by the opposition and international influence.

The number of the respondents, who required to punish the authorities responsible for the break-up of the students' Euromaidan, was the biggest – 57%.

Although, 29.8% of the respondents don't support this demand.

According to the overwhelming majority, the most acceptable kind of protesting is peaceful demonstration (78.5%); only 16.3% don't support it. A small number of respondents encouraged direct clashes with law enforcers (15.9%) and the demolition of the Lenin monument (18.0%).

The situation caused by Euromaidan must be settled by negotiations and compromises, according to the majority of the respondents (41.3%). Over a fourth of the respondents think that the authorities must comply with the protestors' demands (26.3%). Break-up of Euromaidan by force is supported by 15.8% of the respondents.

"It's worth noticing that there are people welcoming a compromise solution of the current situation among those, who support Euromaidan and those, who don't," the sociologists said.

In addition, there's a great uncertainty among Ukrainians as to how Euromaidan will end, according to the poll results. All five major scenarios of Euromaidan outcomes, presented to the respondents, polled nearly the same number of votes; none of the scenarios was named the most likely by the majority of respondents.

Thus, 13.5% believe that the protestors will have their demands complied with, 18.5% believe that the demands will be satisfied partially, after which the protestors will go home. At the same time, 16.2% of those polled believe that the protestors will go home due to internal conflicts and loss of public interest towards Maidan; and 11.2% believe that a "trimmed-down" version of Euromaidan will remain for a long time, which the authorities will ignore.

In spite of 40% of the respondents considering negotiations and compromises between the parties of the conflict to be the ideal solution of the Euromaidan situation, only 18.5% consider this scenario the most likely. According to 18.3% of the respondents, Euromaidan will be broken up by force.

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