09:34 23.05.2016

Half of Ukrainians believe reforms should precede EU membership

4 min read
Half of Ukrainians believe reforms should precede EU membership

About half of Ukrainians believe that their country should first carry out reforms and only then think about European Union membership; a mere 6% of Ukrainians currently support the idea of Ukraine's integration into the EU and NATO, as is seen from the findings of a poll of 2,000 respondents GfK Ukraine conducted in all regions of Ukraine, except the areas in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions currently not controlled by Kyiv, under a contract with the Institute of World Politics.

The findings are available on the Yevropeiska Pravda (European Truth) website.

Asked what the Ukrainian leadership should do if the European Union does not grant Ukraine a membership perspective in the near future, 46% said "it's necessary first to carry out reforms and only then talk about European Union membership."

Another 16% believe Ukraine should rely only on itself ("Ukraine doesn't need to join anything, we will do on our own"), a mere 6% supported integration with the EU and NATO, 7% suggested that "the European Union will break apart anyway," 1% chose something else, and 21% were undecided.

In terms of age, a mere 9% of older Ukrainians believe that, if the negotiations with the EU fail, Ukraine should join the Eurasian Economic Union, 18% of such respondents support Ukraine's self-isolation, and about a quarter of them were undecided.

There are significantly more supporters of the idea that reforms should precede membership among younger respondents: about half of those aged between 18 and 34 hold this view.

In geographical terms, more than half of Ukrainians living in the western (58%) and northern (51%) parts of the country and also in Kyiv (56%) give priority to reforms. This figure is somewhat lower in the center (42%), at the same time, quite a lot of respondents – 25% - are undecided there. In the southern and eastern regions, 36% and 34% of respondents respectively prioritize reforms. The share of those undecided is significantly lower in the south (17%). Only about 23% of those living in southern Ukraine believe their country should not join any association or alliance. The number of those who believe that Ukraine should not integrate into the EU because it will break up is also the highest there (13%).

Asked whether the signing of an association agreement with the EU was the right step, 41% said yes, 25% said this was a mistake, 11% did not care, and 23% were undecided.

The share of those supporting the agreement is the highest among the young (49%) and middle-aged (45%) respondents and the lowest among those aged 65 or older (31%). The share of the EU association agreement supporters is higher among men (48%) than among women (36%); as many as 26% of women are undecided.

The highest number of those approving of the signature of the agreement is in western (74%) and northern (53%) parts of Ukraine and in Kyiv (52%). Only 14% share this view in eastern and 19% in southern Ukraine.

In the central part of the country, 33% approve of this agreement and 22% disapprove of it, with 34% of those undecided. In southern and eastern parts of the country, there are 26% and 29% of those undecided respectively.

Asked when they expected to feel a positive effect from the association agreement with the EU, 23% said they expected this within the next five years, 14% within the next ten years, and 19% said the agreement would produce only negative consequences. As many as 1% have already felt some positive effects and 9% expect such effects within one year. Another 33% said they did not know when the agreement would bring about positive effects.

In western Ukraine and in Kyiv, about a quarter of those polled (25% and 26% respectively) do not know when the agreement would produce a positive effect. In the central, southern, and northern parts of Ukraine, this figure is about 35%, and in the eastern 45%.

The highest number of those expecting positive results from the agreement within the next five years is in western regions and in Kyiv (38%), while there are only 19% of such people in the northern part and 7% in the eastern part of the country.

As many as 36% of respondents in the southern and 40% in the eastern part of Ukraine respectively believe the agreement would bring about only negative consequences.

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