NBU reviews downwards GDP growth forecast for 2017 from 1.9% to 1.6%
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has reviewed downwards the forecast for real GDP growth of Ukraine in 2017 from 1.95% to 1.6%, retaining inflation forecast at 9.1%.
The central bank said in a press release on Thursday that the GDP growth assessments for 2018 and 2019 were not changed, being 3.2% and 4% respectively.
The forecasts for
NBU's expectations regarding underlying inflation improved: the forecast for 2017 was changed from 6.5% to 6.1%, for 2018 – from 4.3% to 3.9% and for 2019 – from 3.7% to 2.8%.
The central bank also slightly revised the forecasts for the key indicators of the balance of payments: the forecast for the deficit of the current account was decreased from $4.3 billion to $4.1 billion, while in 2018 it was increased from $4.3 billion to $4.6 billion. In 2019, the NBU projects that the deficit of the current account will be $3.9 billion instead of the previous forecast of $4.3 billion.
As for the consolidated balance of payment, the forecast for its surplus for 2017 was worsened from $700 million to $1.8 billion, while for 2018 and 2019 it was improved: to $2.5 billion from $3.2 billion and from $500 million to $100 million respectively.