A hypothetical political bloc led by Ukraine's Ambassador to the United Kingdom, former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (2021-2024) Valeriy Zaluzhny, would receive the highest number of votes in elections to the Verkhovna Rada if they were held in the near future, according to the results of a public opinion poll conducted by Socis from July 28 to August 2.
Some 14.5% of respondents – or 19.4% of those who have made up their minds and intend to vote – are ready to vote for such a political bloc.
In second place is a hypothetical bloc led by former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, for which 13.3% of respondents – or 17.9% of those who have made up their minds and intend to vote – would cast their ballots.
Meanwhile, the Servant of the People party, which currently forms a single-party coalition in the Verkhovna Rada, would come in third. 9.5% of respondents – or 12.7% of those who have made up their minds and intend to vote – said they would vote for it.
In fourth place is the hypothetical political bloc of Head of the President's Office Kyrylo Budanov, which also does not currently exist, for which 7.3% of respondents (or 9.7% of those who have made up their minds) would vote.
The European Solidarity party, currently represented in the Verkhovna Rada of the current convocation, would receive 5.2% of the vote, or 7% of those who have made up their minds.
Dmytro Razumkov's existing For Sensible Politics bloc and a hypothetical bloc led by the current mayor of Kharkiv, Chairman of the Association of Frontline Cities and Communities of Ukraine, and Ukraine's Minister for Veterans' Affairs Vitaliy Kim, would each receive 5% of the vote, or 6.7% of the votes from those who have already made up their minds.
No more than 3% of respondents, or 4% of those who have made up their minds, are willing to vote for any of the other political forces, which is below the current 5% threshold for entering the Verkhovna Rada.
Some 5.3% of respondents said they would not participate in the election, while 20.3% said they were undecided.
In total, 2,000 respondents were surveyed using a quota-stratified sample that is close to being representative at the national level in terms of age (18 and older), gender, type of settlement (city/village), and regional division of the country. Survey method: face-to-face interviews using tablets (CARI); the average duration of a single interview was 13 minutes. The survey was not conducted in temporarily occupied territories or in areas where active hostilities are taking place. To the greatest extent possible at this time, the survey took into account the number and composition of the internally displaced population; citizens who have left the country; temporarily occupied territories; and areas where it is impossible to conduct a sociological survey due to active hostilities. Statistical margin of error (confidence interval): +/- 2.6%.
