Incumbent Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Ukraine’s Ambassador to the United Kingdom, former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (2021-2024) Valeriy Zaluzhny, would receive the most votes in Ukraine’s presidential election if it were held in the near future, according to the results of a public opinion poll conducted by Socis from July 28 to August 2.
Specifically, 17.8% of respondents would vote for Zelenskyy, and 17.1% for Zaluzhny. In third place is former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, for whom 10.5% of those surveyed would vote; in fourth place is Head of the President’s Office of Ukraine Kyrylo Budanov (6.7%); and in fifth place is the fifth President of Ukraine (2014-2019) and leader of the European Solidarity party Petro Poroshenko (4.9%).
Mayor of Kharkiv and Head of the Association of Frontline Cities and Communities of Ukraine Ihor Terekhov would receive 4.1% of the vote; Head of For Sensible Politics inter-factional group Dmytro Razumkov would receive 3.4%; former Prime Minister and leader of Batkivschyna union Yulia Tymoshenko would receive 2.8%; world boxing champion and first vice president of the Polissia soccer club Oleksandr Usyk would receive 2.5%; commander of the Third Army Corps of the Skhid Operational Command of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Andriy Biletsky some 2.2%; the rest received less than 2% each.
Some 5.4% of respondents said they would not participate in the election, while 15% said they were undecided.
At the same time, if Zelenskyy and Zaluzhny were to advance to the second round and it were to take place in the near future, Zaluzhny would win with 47.4% of the vote, while 24.2% would vote for Zelenskyy. Some 14.7% of respondents would vote against both candidates, while the rest were undecided or would not participate in the election.
If Zelenskyy and Budanov were to advance to the second round, the incumbent head of state would receive 26%, while the head of his office would receive 39.5%. Some 17.3% would vote against both.
Also, in a runoff against Zelenskyy, Fedorov would win, receiving 43.4% of the vote, while the president would receive 24.7%, and 15% would vote against both.
At the same time, Zelenskyy would defeat Poroshenko if they faced off in the second round, receiving 38.1%, while the leader of European Solidarity would receive 20.7%, and 24.9% would vote against both.
Furthermore, if Zelenskyy and Biletsky were to advance to the second round, the incumbent head of state would win with 32.8%, while the commander of the Third Army Corps would receive 24.9%. 21.8% would vote against both.
In total, 2,000 respondents were surveyed using a quota-stratified sample that is close to being representative at the national level in terms of age (18 and older), gender, type of settlement (city/village), and regional distribution. Research method: face-to-face interviews using tablets (CARI); the average duration of each interview was 13 minutes. The survey was not conducted in temporarily occupied territories or in areas where active hostilities are taking place. To the greatest extent possible at this time, the survey took into account the number and composition of the internally displaced population; citizens who have left the country; temporarily occupied territories; and areas where it is impossible to conduct a sociological survey due to active hostilities. Statistical margin of error (confidence interval): +/- 2.6%.
