7 parties would enter Rada in case of elections, only two from current convocation – Socis poll
A currently non-existent political force of the Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Ukraine to the United Kingdom and former Commander-in-Chief of the AFU Valeriy Zaluzhny would garner 14.5% of the votes of Ukrainian voters if elections to the Verkhovna Rada were held next Sunday, according to the results of a sociological study by the Socis company conducted March 12-18.
Among those who have decided and would go to the polls, 21% would vote for it. This is the best result among current, potential, and projected political forces.
In addition, a currently non-existent separate political force of the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Kyrylo Budanov has the support of 10.6% of voters and would collect 15.3% of the votes of those who have decided, taking second place.
In third place is a projected political force associated with the Head of the Mykolaiv Regional Military Administration Vitaliy Kim, Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov, Head of the Verkhovna Rada Tax Committee Danylo Hetmantsev, and Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council Oleksandr Vilkul. It is supported by 9.4% of respondents, with 13.7% of those who have decided ready to vote for it.
The current ruling party, Servant of the People, is supported by 7.9% of all respondents or 11.5% of those who have decided. The European Solidarity party is supported by 6.2% of respondents or 8.9% of those who have decided.
A party of the National Guard of Ukraine’s Azov corps would be supported by 4.1% of those polled or 6% of those who have decided. The party of the 3rd Army Corps, Third Assault, would be supported by 3.4% of those polled or 4.9% of those who have decided.
Thus, if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine were held next Sunday and all the mentioned forces participated, seven would overcome the 5% electoral threshold: six political forces definitively, and one more with a result within the statistical margin of error would have high chances of also entering parliament.
Of these, only two—Servant of the People and European Solidarity—are part of the Verkhovna Rada of the current 9th convocation.
The political force of non-affiliated MP Dmytro Razumkov would be supported by 2.6% of those polled and 3.7% of those who have decided.
Remaining political forces are ready to be supported by less than 1.5% of respondents. Among them are the Svoboda and Batkivshchyna All-Ukrainian Unions, volunteer Serhiy Prytula’s "August 24" party, Oleh Lyashko’s Radical Party, and the parties of Yuriy Boiko, UDAR, For the Future, and Holos. Other political forces combined are ready to be supported by 2% of respondents.
8.7% would not participate in the elections, and 22.4% have not yet decided on their choice.
At the same time, if the party chosen by respondents was not on the list, the same two political forces would gain the most—17% would vote for Zaluzhny’s party and 15.5% for Budanov’s party. In the case of a "second choice," the results for the Azov party (6.7%) and Third Assault (6.1%) would improve. 5.1% of respondents would vote for the "Kim-Terekhov-Hetmantsev-Vilkul party," and less than 4% for the rest.
A total of 1,204 respondents were interviewed for the study using a quota stratified sample across all government-controlled territories of Ukraine. The research method was face-to-face personal interviews using tablets (CAPI). The statistical margin of error (confidence interval) is ±2.5%.
