Estimate of Ukraine’s recovery needs raised from $524 bln to nearly $588 bln – World Bank

The total cost of recovery in Ukraine as of December 31, 2025, stands at $588 billion (over EUR 500 billion) over the next decade — nearly three times Ukraine’s projected nominal GDP for 2025, according to an updated Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA5) released Monday by the Ukrainian government, the World Bank Group, the European Commission and the United Nations.

"We still manage to recover fast and develop further… The assistance helps us urgently repair our critical infrastructure to keep the country running as well as continue systematic recovery activities focusing on energy projects and housing for our people," Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko said of the findings.

Last year’s assessment put recovery needs at $524 billion, compared with $486 billion the year before and $411 billion the year prior to that.

The RDNA5 assessment, which covers damage sustained over nearly four years from Feb. 24, 2022, through December 31, 2025, shows that direct damage in Ukraine has now reached $195 billion, compared with $176 billion in the RDNA4 assessment and $152 billion in RDNA3.

"Housing, transport, and energy sectors are most affected. Damage, losses, and needs remain concentrated in frontline oblasts and major metropolitan areas," the document notes.